After scaling up to a relative high of around $53,000 just over two weeks ago, it seemed as though Bitcoin (BTC) was well on its way to reclaiming its former all-time highs. However, the series of events that unfolded over the past week has seen the world’s largest cryptocurrency by total market capitalization lose nearly 13% of its value, with a single BTC currently trading near $45,800.
That said, the aforementioned volatility seems to have left Standard Chartered’s cryptocurrency research unit completely unfazed, with the analysts referring to Bitcoin’s most recent plunge as being a “false dip” while reiterating that a year-end target of $100,000 per BTC is still quite achievable for the flagship cryptocurrency.
The banking behemoth believes that Bitcoin will have hit $100,000 by “late 2021 or early 2022,” a move that will be accompanied by a huge spike in the value of Ether (ETH) as well. In fact, the research team pointed out that Ether is “structurally” valued at a year-end price point between $26,000 and $35,000, however, in order for that to happen, BTC must scale up to $175,000.
To get a better idea of whether a year-end projection of $100,000 per BTC is still feasible, Cointelegraph reached out to Ben Caselin, head of research and strategy at cryptocurrency exchange AAX. In his view, last Tuesday’s sell-off was a classic “sell the news” move, adding that he believes that an elaborate “bear trap” may have been at play. Caselin told Cointelegraph:
“I do expect $100K is still in play for Bitcoin this year — if anything, $100K would be underwhelming. In fact, if we follow PlanB’s stock-to-flow, we are still moving in the lower band, tracing ‘worst-case-scenario prices,’ which stood at $47K last month, $43K in September, and no less than $135K at the end of the year.”
He added that when it comes to Bitcoin, there is more value in looking at on-chain data rather than price technicals alone, as it allows users to gain a more high-resolution view of what’s actually happening across the network in real-time.
Similarly, Tommy Schreiner, senior research analyst at crypto data provider TheTIE, told Cointelegraph that there is still a healthy chance that Bitcoin can reach $100,000 by the close of 2021:
“$100K seems as ridiculous perhaps as $50K did last year, but there are factors in play that don’t completely out-rule that scenario. The recent pullback was mostly a de-levering of the market, as a large percentage of leveraged open interest got wiped out and effectively reset all the bullish traders who were going YOLO.”
Schreiner further emphasized that despite all the economic turmoil across the globe, the United States Federal Reserve has shown no signs of stopping the money printer, something he believes to be a good sign for relatively riskier assets such as cryptocurrencies.
Furthermore, he highlighted that layer-one solutions such as Solana, Terra, Avalanche, Polygon and Fantom have continued to bring in new money into the global digital asset ecosystem in recent months, something that may also help spur BTC’s value.
“NFTs [nonfungible tokens] are burning a huge amount of Ethereum every day, despite pricing out a lot of retail users. So if $100K seems ridiculous, perhaps look at how far crypto has come in just a year,” Schreiner said.
Nick Spanos, co-founder of Zap Protocol, believes that El Salvador’s recent acceptance of Bitcoin as legal tender has the digital currency well on its way to hitting the $100,000 mark by the end of the year. “Ether is also looking to hit $10,000 by then,” he said.
Some doubts for $100,000
Lennix Lai, financial markets director at cryptocurrency exchange OKEx, believes that while Bitcoin’s future seems poised for good things, that doesn’t necessarily mean the premier digital currency will close out the year at $100,000. He told Cointelegraph:
“I think we would see a short-term correction considering…